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UFC 223 - Ferguson vs. Khabib

UFC 223 - Ferguson vs. Khabib

Saturday, April 7, 2018

Barclays Center

Brooklyn, New York United States

Zabit Magomedsharipov vs. Kyle Bochniak

Zabit Magomedsharipov (27 years old)

-               6 foot 1

-               145 pounds (featherweight)

-               74 inch reach

-               14-1-0

-               10 fight win streak

-               Won 10 of last 10 fights

Kyle Bochniak (31 years old)

-               5 foot 7

-               145 pounds (featherweight)

-               70 inch reach

-               8-2-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               8-2-0

Zabit Magomedsharipov is a good well-rounded fighter with 2 UFC fights, winning both of them by way of submission. He is also an excellent strikes, winning 6 of his 14 MMA fights by way of knockout. Zabit has a striking accuracy of 59% in the UFC, landing 79 of 135 strikes. Zabit is a diverse striker with a variety of head kicks and punches. Zabit is a very good ground fighter, with 6 of his 14 wins coming by way of submission. Zabit also has good takedown defense, stopping 71% of attempted takedowns against him in the UFC. Kyle Bochniak is a very aggressive fighter, with a bulky frame. Kyle has won 2 of his 4 UFC fights, both by way of decision. Kyle’s striking accuracy in the UFC is 33%, landing 149 of 456 strikes. Kyle has succeeded in 5 of his 23 takedown attempts in the UFC (22%), and he has avoided 66% of takedowns. Kyle has only won 2 of his 8 UFC fights by way of knockout. I believe that Zabit will win this fight by way of decision, outstriking Kyle Bochniak and keeping him on the outside with his height and reach advantage and kicks.

Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov

Devin Clark vs. Michael Rodriguez

Devin Clark (27 years old)

-               6 foot 0

-               205 pounds (light heavyweight)

-               75 inch reach

-               8-2-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Michael Rodriguez (29 years old)

-               6 foot 3

-               205 pounds (light heavyweight)

-               83 inch reach

-               9-2-0

-               4 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Devin Clark is a good ground fighter, winning 2 of his 4 UFC fights both by way of decision. Devin Clark won 3 of his 8 wins by way of knockout, with 1 of those wins coming by way of submission. Devin Clark has good striking accuracy, landing 144 of 271 strikes thrown (53%). Devin has good takedown defense, avoiding 80% of takedowns against him in the UFC. Devin has a fighting style of wrestling the opponent to the floor but with only 1 submission win in his MMA career and none in his UFC career. Michael Rodriguez is an MMA fighter who is making his UFC debut. Michael Rodriguez has won 7 of his 9 MMA fights by way of knockout, all being in the first round. Michael Rodriguez has 2 submission wins in his MMA career and he has only been to the third round once, where he lost by unanimous decision. I believe that Devin Clark will wrestle Michael Rodriguez to the ground and will win by decision. Devin Clark has more experience and has faught tough fighters such as Jan Blachowicz, therefore I think he will take the decision victory.

Prediction: Devin Clark

UFC Fight Night - Emmett vs Stephens

UFC Fight Night - Emmett vs Stephens

Saturday, February 24, 2018

Amway Center

Orlando, FL USA

Predictions

Albert Morales vs. Manny Bermudez

Albert Morales (26 years old)

-               5 foot 9

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               72 inch reach

-               7-3-1

-               2 fight losing streak

-               Won 1 of last 3 fights

Manny Bermudez (23 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               72.5 inch reach

-               10-0-0

-               10 fight winning streak

-               Won 3 of last 3 fights

Albert Morales is a well-rounded UFC fighter with both striking and a ground game. Albert Morales is known for his ability to take punishment, having went through a war with Benito Lopez, and only being knocked out in 1 of his UFC fight versus Thomas Almeida. Albert Morales finished 5 of his 7 MMA wins. Albert Morales is an aggressive striker with ok accuracy, landing 259 of 751 strikes (34%). Albert Morales has a good takedown defense of 67%, which is vital against a submission specialist like Manny Bermudez. Manny Bermudez is a submission specialist with no UFC experience. Manny Bermudez has finished 7 of his 10 wins by submission. I believe that Albert Morales will be too aggressive and therefore will make himself too susceptible for a takedown. Albert Morales has never faced anyone with the level of submission game that Manny Bermudez possesses, and no one near the number of submission wins that Manny Bermudez has. I believe that Manny Bermudez wins this fight by decision by keeping the fight on the ground.

Prediction: Manny Bermudez

Eric Shelton vs. Alex Perez

Eric Shelton (27 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               125 pounds (flyweight)

-               68 inch reach

-               11-4-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 3 of 5 last fights

Alex Perez (25 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               125 pounds (flyweight)

-               65.5 inch reach

-               19-4-0

-               6 fight win streak

-               Won 5 of 5 last fights

Eric Shelton has only 3 UFC fights, losing 2 of those 3 fights, with all 3 UFC fights going to decision. Eric Shelton is a ground fighter, with only 2 of his 11 wins coming by way of knockout, and 5 of his 11 wins coming by way of submission. Eric Shelton has good striking accuracy landing 149 of 296 strikes (50%) but he doesn’t strike often and isn’t an aggressive striker. Eric Shelton avoided 46% of takedowns against him in the UFC, and many fighters were able to take him down easily, such as Sid Bice. Alex Perez has only 2 UFC fights, winning both those fights by submission. Alex Perez is a ground fighter winning most of his fights by decision or submission, winning 6 of his 19 wins (32%) by submission. Alex Perez has better striking than Eric Shelton, landing 24 of 40 strikes (60%), but he strikes much less than Eric Shelton, with 2 quick submission wins. Alex Perez is also hard to take down, never being taken down in his 2 UFC fight, even when fighter another submission fighter in Kevin Gray. Being the better fighter on the feet and on the ground, I believe that Alex Perez will keep this fight on the ground and will win by decision.

Prediction: Alex Perez

Rani Yahya vs. Russell Doane

Rani Yahya (33 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               68 inch reach

-               24-9-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Russell Doane (31 years old)

-               5 foot 7

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               70 inch reach

-               15-7-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 1 of last 5 fights

Rani Yahya is a veteran with 13 UFC fights, with 4 of those wins coming by way of submission. Rani Yahya is a ground fighter with none of his UFC wins coming by way of knockout. Rani Yahya has faced some very good well-rounded fighters such as Chad Mendes and Joseph Benavidez. Rani Yahya doesn’t have very good striking with 291 of 779 strikes landing (37%). Rani Yahya attempted many takedowns in his UFC fight, with 42 or 121 takedowns (35%) being secured; with an average of 3.2 secured takedowns per fight. Russell Doane has less experience than Rani in the UFC, with 7 UFC fights, winning only 3 of those 7 UFC fights. In Russell’s 4 UFC losses, 2 of those came from way of submission. Russell Doane is an aggressive striker, which makes him susceptible to being taken down and finished on the ground, like we have seen against Mirsad Bektic. Russell Doane is a better striker than Rani, with 135 of 327 strikes (41%) landing. Russell Doane has secured 10 of 23 takedowns (43%) in his 7 UFC fights (1.4 takedowns per fight). I believe that Rani Yahya will win this fight by decision, by taking advantage of Russell’s aggressiveness and winning rounds on the ground.

Prediction: Rani Yahya

Sam Alvey vs. Marcin Prachnio

Sam Alvey (31 years old)

-               6 foot 2

-               185 pounds (middleweight)

-               75 inch reach

-               31-10-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of 5 last fights

Marcin Prachnio (29 years old)

-               6 foot 3

-               185 pounds (middleweight)

-               N/A reach

-               13-2-0

-               8 fight win streak

-               Won 5 of last 5 fights

Sam Alvey is a veteran knockout artist with 13 UFC fights, finishing 4 of those 8 fight wins by knockout, and 1 of those 8 wins by submission. Sam Alvey has good striking, landing 390 of 847 (46%) strikes. Sam Alvey has very good takedown defense, avoiding 84% of takedowns. Marcin Prachnio is making his UFC debut against Sam Alvey. Marcin Prachnio has proven himself to be a knockout artist with 10 of his 13 wins coming by way of knockout. Marcin Prachnio has had only 3 fights that have gone to decision, with 2 of those being decision wins. Marcin Prachnio has the size advantage over Sam Alvey, having been part of the light heavyweight division. I do not believe that Sam Alvey possesses the power to knock Marcin Prachnio out based on the fact the Marcin has taken shots by light heavyweights, and the power will not be enough to put Marcin in danger.  This fight will be a striking battle, with a knockout punch sealing the deal. I believe that Marcin Prachnio will win this fight by knockout based on the size advantage, and his consistent knockouts, whereas Sam Alvey hasn’t had a knockout win in the last 5 fights.

Prediction: Marcin Prachnio

Gilbert Burns vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Gilbert Burns (31 years old)

-               5 foot 10

-               155 pounds (lightweight)

-               71 inch reach

-               12-2-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 3 of 5 last fights

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (28 years old)

-               5 foot 9

-               155 pounds (lightweight)

-               70 inch reach

-               10-2-0

-               3 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Gilbert Burns is a fighter with 7 UFC fights. Gilbert won 5 of his 7 UFC fights, finishing 4 of those 5 wins by submission, and 1 of those by knockout. Gilbert is a more of a well-rounded fighter, with a bigger variety of knockouts (4 knockouts) and submissions. Gilbert’s striking is not as successful as Olivier’s, landing 197 of 521 strikes (38%) in all of his UFC fights. A big problem for Gilbert is his takedown defense which is only 38%, which is a disadvantage going against a strong takedown and submission specialist in Olivier. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is a fighter with 8 UFC fights. Olivier won 6 of his 8 UFC fights, finishing 4 of those 6 wins via submission. Olivier finished 8 of his 10 MMA wins by way of submission, and with his only UFC loss via decision against Chad Laprise. Olivier has good ground game, succeeding in 21 of his 59 (36%) takedown attempts in the UFC; with very good takedown defense, avoiding 83% of takedowns against him. Olivier also has good striking but never puts it to use to finish his fights, landing 268 of 511 (52%) strikes. I believe that Olivier Aubin-Mercier will win this fight by way of submission.

Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Ben Saunders vs. Alan Jouban

Ben Saunders (34 years old)

-               6 foot 2

-               170 pounds (welterweight)

-               78 inch reach

-               20-8-2

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Alan Jouban (36 years old)

-               6 foot

-               170 pounds (welterweight)

-               73 inch reach

-               15-6-0

-               2 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Ben Saunders is a fighter with 13 fights in the UFC. Ben won 8 of those 13 fights, with 3 of those wins coming by way of submission, and 2 of those wins via knockout. Ben Saunders is a well-rounded fighter; he is more of a striker, with 372 of 730 strikes (51%) landing. Ben Saunders has a kickboxing-like style, which makes him susceptible to being taken down when he throws a kick, but he has good takedown defense, avoiding 72% of takedowns. Alan Jouban is a veteran with 10 fights in the UFC. Alan Jouban is a rangy striker who has a kickboxing style, with a good striking accuracy, landing 393 of 746 strikes (53%). Alan Jouban has only one submission win in his MMA career, but he has good takedown defense, avoiding 63% of takedowns in the UFC. Alan Jouban tends to get knocked out against aggressive strikers at close range, and I don’t see Ben Saunders knocking out Alan Jouban because of his patient rangy kickboxing style. Both fighters are patient kickboxers, but I believe that Alan Jouban is a more precise striker with a higher fight IQ, and he will win this fight by decision.

Prediction: Alan Jouban

Maryna Moroz vs. Angela Hill

Maryna Moroz (26 years old)

-               5 foot 7

-               115 pounds (strawweight)

-               67 inch reach

-               8-2-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 2 of last 4 fights

Angela Hill (33 years old)

-               5 foot 3

-               115 pounds (strawweight)

-               64 inch reach

-               7-4-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 2 of last 4 fights

Maryna Moroz is a fighter with 5 UFC fights, with 3 wins; 2 of her wins by decision, and 1 of her wins via submission. Maryna Moroz has no knockout wins in her MMA career, with a poor striking accuracy, landing 157 of 648 strikes (24%). Maryna Moroz has attempted 3 takedowns in her UFC career and has only successfully achieved 1 of those 3 takedowns (33%). Angela Hill if a fighter with 6 UFC fights, with 2 wins, both by way of decision. Angela Hill has superior striking to Maryna Moroz, with 389 of 788 strikes (49%) landing. Angela Hill has a takedown defense of 71% in her UFC career, which will help her stay away from the submission game of Maryna Moroz, keeping the fight on the feet, where Angela Hill has the advantage in striking. I believe that Angela Hill will win this fight by decision with, having more experience because she faced more high level fighter such as Nina Ansaroff, Rose Namajunas, and Jessica Andrade, and because of her striking advantage.

Prediction: Angela Hill

Sara McMann vs. Marion Reneau

Sara McMann (37 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               67 inch reach

-               11-4-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Marion Reneau (40 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               135 pounds (bantamweight)

-               68 inch reach

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 2 of last 5 fights

Sara McMann is a veteran fighter with 13 fights in the UFC, winning 9 of those 13 fights, with 3 of those wins coming by way of submission. Sara McMann has only won one of her fights via knockout, but she is a very accurate, powerful striker, landing 167 of 389 strikes (43%). Sara McMann has an aggressive striking style, where she also mixes in many takedowns, succeeding in 15 of her 29 takedown attempts in the UFC. Sara also has good takedown defense, avoiding 67% of takedowns against her. Marlon Reneau is a fighter with 7 UFC fights, winning 4 of those fights. Marlon Reneau is a well-rounded fighter, winning 1 of her UFC fights via submission, and 2 of her UFC fights via knockout. Marlon Reneau has more of a kickboxing style, with accurate striking, landing 350 of 847 strikes (41%) in the UFC. Marlon Reneau has a good ground game, succeeding in 2 of her 2 attempted takedown in the UFC. Marlon Reneau likes to strike from the outside, keeping her opponents at a distance with her kicks, while Sara McMann likes to strike more aggressively, striking in close distance. I believe that Marlon Reneau will win this fight by submission.

Prediction: Marlon Reneau

Renan Barao vs. Brian Kelleher

Renan Barao (31 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               145 pound (featherweight)

-               70 inch reach

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 1 of last 4 fight

Brian Kelleher (31 years old)

-               5 foot 6

-               145 pounds (featherweight)

-               64 inch reach

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 3 of last 4 fights

Renan Barao is a veteran with 15 fights in the UFC, remaining undefeated for almost a decade in MMA. Renan Barao is a complete fighter with good striking, good submissions, and excellent takedown defense, defending 95% of takedowns against him. Renan Barao has landed 694 of 2027 strikes (34%) attempted in the UFC. Renan Barao has successfully completed 20 of his 44 takedowns (45%) in the UFC. Renan Barao has 11 wins in the UFC, with 2 of those wins being via knockout and 5 of those wins being via submission. Renan Barao is on a bad losing streak, after being knocked out twice by TJ Dillashaw. Brian Kelleher has 3 fights I the UFC, winning 2 of those 3 fights, one time being by submission and the other time being by knockout. Brian Kelleher is a great finisher, with 7 of his 18 MMA wins coming by way of knockout, and 8 of his 18 MMA wins coming by way of submission. Brian Kelleher has good striking, landing 91 of 178 strikes (51%) in the UFC. I don’t believe that Renan Barao is the same fighter he used to be but I don’t think that Brian Kelleher is as good as any fighter who has beaten Renan Barao recently, and I see Renan Barao winning this fight by decision.

Prediction: Renan Barao

Mike Perry vs. Max Griffin

Mike Perry (26 years old)

-               5 foot 10

-               170 pounds (welterweight)

-               71 inch reach

-               11-2-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Max Griffin (32 years old)

-               6 foot

-               170 pounds (welterweight)

-               76 inch reach

-               13-4-0

-               1 fight losing streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Mike Perry is a knockout artist with 6 wins in the UFC, winning 4 of those 6 fights all by way of knockout. Mike Perry has a boxing style, with so much power in his right hand that he never has the need to go for a takedown because he can end the fight in 1 punch. Mike Perry has a brawling style, but lately is more patient. He has good striking, landing 246 of 563 strikes (44%), and good stand up defense, avoiding 60% of strikes thrown at him. Mike Perry also has good takedown defense, avoiding 63% of takedowns. Mike Perry has problems against long tall fighters who stay at a distance, such as Alan Jouban and Santiago Ponzanibbio. Max Griffin is a fighter with just 3 UFC fights, with 1 win in those 3 fights. His only win in the UFC came by the way of knockout, and one of his loses came by way of knockout. Max Griffin has 7 knockout wins and 2 submission wins in his MMA career, with 13 career wins in total. Max Griffin is mainly a striker, landing 79 of 198 strikes (40%) in his UFC career. I believe that this fight will be a striking match, and Mike Perry is a better striker with much more devastating knockout power than Max Griffin. I believe that Mike Perry will win this fight by knockout.

Prediction: Mike Perry

Ovince Saint-Preux vs. Illir Latifi

Ovince Saint-Preux (34 years old)

-               6 foot 3

-               205 pounds (light heavyweight)

-               80 inch reach

-               22-10-0

-               3 fight win streak

-               Won 3 of his last 6 fights

Illir Latifi (34 years old)

-               5 foot 10

-               205 pounds (light heavyweight)

-               73 inch reach

-               14-5-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of his last 6 fights

Ovince Saint-Preux is a veteran fighter with 22 fights in the UFC. Ovince won 16 of his 22 UFC fights, with 8 of those wins coming by way of knockout, and 3 submissions. Ovince Saint-Preux is a well-rounded fighter, relying more on his striking, landing 390 of 910 strikes (43%) in the UFC. Ovince also has good takedowns, succeeding in 9 of his 24 takedowns in the UFC. Ovince has lost 5 fights in the UFC, with 1 of those losses coming by way of knockout and one of those losses coming by way of submission. Illir Latifi is a UFC fighter with 9 fights. Illir Latifi won 6 of his 9 UFC fights, with 3 of those 6 wins coming by way of knockout, with 1 of those wins being by way of submission. Illir Latifi is a well-rounded fighter with good striking, landing 128 of 323 strikes (40%). Illir Latifi has good takedown defense, defending 100% of takedowns in the UFC. Illir Latifi has lost 3 fights in the UFC, with 2 of those losses by way of knockout. Illir’s best strategy to win this fight would be to takedown Ovince Saint-Preux and attempt to win the round by dominating on the ground. I believe that Ovince Saint-Preux will win this fight by knockout.

Prediction: Ovince Saint-Preux

Jessica Andrade vs. Tecia Torres

Jessica Andrade (26 years old)

-               5 foot 2

-               115 pounds (strawweight)

-               62 inch reach

-               17-6-0

-               1 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Tecia Torres (28 years old)

-               5 foot 1

-               115 pounds (strawweight)

-               61 inch reach

-               10-1-0

-               3 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Jessica Andrade is a well-rounded fighter with 12 UFC fights. Jessica Andrade has won 8 of her 12 UFC fights, with 1 of those wins coming by way of knockout, and 2 of those wins coming by way of submission. Jessica Andrade has great takedowns, securing 23 of 44 takedowns (52%) in the UFC; on the ground is where she does a lot of damage, though ground and pound. Jessica Andrade is also very hard to take down, with 79% of takedowns against her being avoided. Jessica Andrade is a dangerous, aggressive striker with a granite chin, with only 1 knockout loss in her UFC career. She is a dangerous striker, landing 890 of 1726 strikes (52%). She has the ability to eat many punches without getting knocked out, and she keeps coming forward, which is a huge problem for her opponents when they can no longer take the pressure, such as her fight against Claudia Gadelha. Tecia Torres is a fighter with 7 UFC fights, winning 6 of her 7 UFC fights, with only one loss in her entire MMA career. Tecia Torres wins most of her fights by decisions, winning her fights by points, with 1 submission win and no knockout wins. Tecia Torres is a good striker, landing 457 of 915 strikes (50%) thrown, and avoiding 70% of strikes. I believe that Jessica Andrade will win this fight by knockout, by taking down Torres and beating her up on the ground with ground and pound.

Prediction: Jessica Andrade

Josh Emmett vs. Jeremy Stephens

Josh Emmett (32 years old)

-               5 foot 6 ½

-               145 pounds (featherweight)

-               70 inch reach

-               13-1-0

-               2 fight win streak

-               Won 4 of last 5 fights

Jeremy Stephens (31 years old)

-               5 foot 8

-               145 pounds

-               71 inch reach

-               27-14-0

-               2 fight win streak

-               Won 3 of last 5 fights

Josh Emmett is a relatively unknown fighter with 5 UFC fights, winning 4 of those 5 fights, all being by decision except for his knockout win against Ricardo Lamas. Josh Emmett has knockout power in his hands with 4 of his 13 MMA wins coming by way of knockout. Josh Emmett has only lost 1 fight in the MMA by way of decision. Josh Emmett is a more well-rounded fighter with good striking and wrestling. Josh Emmett has succeeded in 9 of his 17 (53%) attempted takedowns in the UFC. Josh Emmett has landed 259 of 703 strikes (37%) in the UFC. If Josh Emmett wants to win this fight his game plan should be to rely on his wrestling to steal rounds away from Jeremy Stephens because I believe that he has a disadvantage on the feet. Jeremy Stephens is a veteran fighter with 41 MMA fights and 27 fights in the UFC. Jeremy Stephens is a knockout artist with with 7 of his 14 UFC wins coming by way of knockout, and 17 of his 27 MMA wins coming by way of knockout. Jeremy Stephens is a dangerous striker with little ground game, with 0 submission wins in the UFC, and 3 submission wins in his MMA career. Jeremy Stephens has landed 1042 of 2579 strikes (40%) in the UFC, and avoiding 60% of strikes. Jeremy Stephens has much more experience than Josh Emmett, with many more UFC fights and fighting against the divisions top fighters such as Frankie Edgar, Max Holloway, and Cub Swanson. I believe that Jeremy Stephens will win this fight by knockout based on his experience, and because Josh Emmett has never faced an opponent with such devastating knockout power, speed, and experience.

Prediction: Jeremy Stephens